Atlas vs Club Queretaro

Atlas host Club Queretaro in the Liga MX, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Estadio Jalisco. Atlas sit 4th in the table and Club Queretaro are 6th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Atlas have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (W L W W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Club Queretaro have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W D L W). Club Queretaro are averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Atlas, 3 for Club Queretaro and 3 draws, averaging 3.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.87 to 0.74.

Atlas and Queretaro combine for modest expected goals totalling 1.61. H2H patterns include low-scoring draws and 0-0 results, reinforcing the under 3.5 selection.