Sirius vs Malmo FF
Sirius0-1
Malmo FFHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Sirius host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan, kicking off on Monday, 31 August 2026 at Studenternas IP. Sirius sit 1st in the table and Malmo FF are 7th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games Sirius have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (W D L L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Malmo FF have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (W L W L W). Malmo FF are averaging 1.7 scored and 1.6 conceded per game, keeping 6 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Sirius, 5 for Malmo FF and 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 0.5 Goals (HT) (Over 0.5 (HT)) as the pick, rated 86% at odds of 1.16. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.97 to 1.36.
Statistical model favors Over 0.5 (HT) (Sirius vs Malmo FF) at 86% based on expected goals of 2.97-1.36.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.594%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw86%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)86%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away83%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)83%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.581%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes71%
- Home Win · Home69%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.563%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.537%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away31%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No29%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.519%
- Draw · Draw17%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)17%
- Away Win · Away14%
- Correct Score · 2-18%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.56%
Last 10 meetings
- LMalmo FF2 - 323/04/2026SiriusW
- WSirius5 - 105/10/2025Malmo FFL
- DMalmo FF1 - 118/04/2025SiriusD
- LMalmo FF0 - 127/07/2024SiriusW
- LSirius3 - 419/07/2024Malmo FFW
- LSirius1 - 328/08/2023Malmo FFW
- WMalmo FF3 - 001/07/2023SiriusL
- WSirius2 - 107/08/2022Malmo FFL
- WMalmo FF3 - 123/07/2022SiriusL
- LSirius2 - 330/10/2021Malmo FFW
Recent form
- Lv
Malmo FF0 - 1 - W@
Friska Viljor2 - 0 - Lv
BK Hacken0 - 3 - L@
Mjallby AIF3 - 4 - Dv
IF Brommapojkarna2 - 2 - W@
Halmstad2 - 0 - Wv
IFK Goteborg4 - 1 - W@
IF Elfsborg3 - 1 - W@IF Brommapojkarna2 - 1
- DvMjallby AIF4 - 4
- W@
Sirius1 - 0 - W@
Lindo FF5 - 1 - Lv
Djurgardens IF0 - 3 - W@
Gais1 - 0 - Lv
Degerfors IF1 - 2 - W@IF Brommapojkarna2 - 1
- LvIF Elfsborg1 - 2
- D@
Kalmar FF2 - 2 - WvIFK Goteborg4 - 0
- W@Degerfors IF1 - 0
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sirius | 2.47 | 1.42 | 1 |
| Malmo FF | 1.74 | 1.58 | 7 |
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | +20 | 42 |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | +26 | 36 |
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | +24 | 35 |
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | +8 | 31 |
| 5 | BK Hacken | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 31 |
| 6 |  AIK Stockholm | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +1 | 31 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 |  Vasteras SK FK | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Gais | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | +7 | 26 |
| 10 | IF Brommapojkarna | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | -4 | 24 |
| 11 | IFK Goteborg | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -14 | 16 |
| 15 |  Orgryte IS | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -22 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.