Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK

Ham-Kam host Kristiansund BK in the Eliteserien, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Briskeby Arena. Ham-Kam sit 10th in the table and Kristiansund BK are 15th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Ham-Kam have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (L W D L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Kristiansund BK have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (L L W L D). Kristiansund BK are averaging 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 3 wins for Ham-Kam, 2 for Kristiansund BK and 4 draws, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 4.35 to 0.55.

Ham-Kam's expected goals advantage is extreme (4.35 vs 0.55), but both squads carry extensive injury lists with numerous duplicates suggesting defensive instability. Home win remains most likely but the injury context warrants modest confidence reduction from the astronomical base model probability.