Sandefjord vs Brann

Sandefjord host Brann in the Eliteserien, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Jotun Arena. Sandefjord sit 12th in the table and Brann are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Sandefjord have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (L L L W D). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Brann have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W L W W D). Brann are averaging 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for Sandefjord, 4 for Brann and 5 draws, averaging 2.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.14 to 0.75.

Sandefjord are struggling (four straight losses) and offer minimal offensive threat (0.88 goals avg, 0.35 home). Although Brann have better form and xG of 0.75, the combined 1.89 and Sandefjord's weakness make Under 3.5 robust at 88%.