Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg

Bodo/Glimt host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Aspmyra Stadion. Bodo/Glimt sit 1st in the table and Rosenborg are 8th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Bodo/Glimt have taken 5 wins (W W W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 10 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Rosenborg have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (W L W W L). Rosenborg are averaging 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, keeping 6 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Bodo/Glimt, 2 for Rosenborg and 4 draws, averaging 4.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 5.26 to 0.33.

This is a one-sided fixture. Bodo's expected goals nearly 16× Rosenborg's; away win probability is 0%. Home win or draw is near-certain regardless of match flow.