St. Louis City vs FC Dallas

St. Louis City host FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Monday, 31 August 2026 at CITYPARK. St. Louis City sit 6th in the table and FC Dallas are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games St. Louis City have taken 2 wins and 3 draws (D W D W D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games FC Dallas have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D W W L D). FC Dallas are averaging 1.9 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 4 clean sheets so far.

Their last 8 meetings have produced 2 wins for St. Louis City, 3 for FC Dallas and 3 draws, averaging 2.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.61 to 1.65.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (St. Louis City vs FC Dallas) at 85% based on expected goals of 1.61-1.65.