San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
San Diego host Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Snapdragon Stadium. San Diego sit 8th in the table and Los Angeles Galaxy are 13th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games San Diego have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (D W L W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Los Angeles Galaxy have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (D L W D L). Los Angeles Galaxy are averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 4 clean sheets so far.
Their last 3 meetings have produced 3 wins for San Diego, 0 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 0 draws, averaging 3.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 79% at odds of 1.27. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.67 to 1.16.
San Diego's strong home advantage (1.29 xG) and LA Galaxy's offensive capability (despite injuries) combine for good goal-scoring potential in this fixture.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.579%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw75%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away73%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)72%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.568%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)66%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes57%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.554%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away52%
- Home Win · Home48%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.546%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No43%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)34%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.532%
- Draw · Draw27%
- Away Win · Away25%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.521%
- Correct Score · 1-113%
Last 10 meetings
- WSan Diego
3 - 130/08/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyL - WSan Diego
2 - 124/05/2025
Los Angeles GalaxyL - LLos Angeles Galaxy
0 - 224/02/2025
San DiegoW
Recent form
- Wv
Los Angeles Galaxy3 - 1 - Wv
Colorado Rapids3 - 0 - L@
Portland Timbers1 - 3 - W@
Los Angeles FC1 - 0 - Wv
Puebla3 - 2 - Wv
Club Tijuana1 - 0 - L@
Club America1 - 3 - D@
Minnesota United FC1 - 1 - Wv
FC Dallas1 - 0 - L@
Colorado Rapids0 - 1
- L@
San Diego1 - 3 - D@
CF Montreal2 - 2 - Wv
San Jose Earthquakes1 - 0 - L@
Houston Dynamo0 - 1 - Dv
FC Dallas0 - 0 - D@
San Jose Earthquakes1 - 1 - Lv
St. Louis City1 - 3 - Lv
Los Angeles FC0 - 3 - Wv
Club America1 - 0 - Lv
El Salvador0 - 3
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | 1.82 | 1.5 | 8 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 1.22 | 1.52 | 13 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +30 | 43 | |
| 1 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | +30 | 52 | |
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +15 | 42 | |
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +4 | 39 | |
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +11 | 37 | |
| 3 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +14 | 36 | |
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +6 | 34 | |
| 4 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 | |
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +4 | 34 | |
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +8 | 35 | |
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 31 | |
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +3 | 34 | |
| 7 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | +3 | 31 | |
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | +5 | 28 | |
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +7 | 30 | |
| 8 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -14 | 26 | |
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | -2 | 29 | |
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -17 | 25 | |
| 10 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 28 | |
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -6 | 25 | |
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -8 | 25 | |
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 28 | |
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 26 | |
| 12 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 24 | |
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -13 | 21 | |
| 13 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 26 | |
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -16 | 21 | |
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -13 | 24 | |
| 15 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -34 | 15 | |
| 15 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 20 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.