Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Colorado Rapids host Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Colorado Rapids sit 7th in the table and Real Salt Lake are 10th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games Colorado Rapids have taken 4 wins and 1 defeat (W W W L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 8 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Real Salt Lake have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (D D L L L). Real Salt Lake are averaging 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Colorado Rapids, 6 for Real Salt Lake and 0 draws, averaging 2.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 90% at odds of 1.11. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.41 to 0.83.
Colorado's home dominance combined with Real Salt Lake's poor form (LDDLL) and weak away xG (0.6) makes the home or draw selection a strong play at 90% confidence.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw90%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)88%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.584%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away81%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)77%
- Home Win · Home71%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.563%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.559%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes52%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No48%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.541%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.537%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away29%
- Draw · Draw19%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.516%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)12%
- Correct Score · 2-011%
- Away Win · Away10%
Last 10 meetings
- WColorado Rapids
1 - 030/08/2026
Real Salt LakeL - WReal Salt Lake
2 - 117/05/2026
Colorado RapidsL - WReal Salt Lake
1 - 005/10/2025
Colorado RapidsL - WColorado Rapids
1 - 018/05/2025
Real Salt LakeL - WColorado Rapids
3 - 221/07/2024
Real Salt LakeL - WReal Salt Lake
5 - 319/05/2024
Colorado RapidsL - LReal Salt Lake
1 - 210/03/2024
Colorado RapidsW - LColorado Rapids
0 - 122/10/2023
Real Salt LakeW - WReal Salt Lake
2 - 003/09/2023
Colorado RapidsL - LColorado Rapids
0 - 125/05/2023
Real Salt LakeW
Recent form
- Wv
Real Salt Lake1 - 0 - L@
San Diego0 - 3 - Wv
Los Angeles FC1 - 0 - Wv
Sporting Kansas City2 - 0 - Wv
Austin1 - 0 - L@
St. Louis City0 - 1 - Wv
San Diego1 - 0 - Dv
FC Juarez1 - 1 - Lv
FC Dallas1 - 2 - Wv
San Jose Earthquakes2 - 0
- L@
Colorado Rapids0 - 1 - L@
Leon0 - 3 - L@
Orlando City SC1 - 2 - Lv
FC Dallas3 - 4 - Dv
Minnesota United FC1 - 1 - Wv
FC Juarez3 - 0 - Wv
Atlante FC4 - 0 - D@
St. Louis City1 - 1 - L@
Portland Timbers1 - 2
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 1.41 | 1.27 | 7 |
| Real Salt Lake | 1.62 | 1.57 | 10 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +30 | 43 | |
| 1 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | +30 | 52 | |
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +15 | 42 | |
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +4 | 39 | |
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +11 | 37 | |
| 3 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +14 | 36 | |
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +6 | 34 | |
| 4 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 | |
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +4 | 34 | |
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +8 | 35 | |
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 31 | |
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +3 | 34 | |
| 7 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | +3 | 31 | |
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | +5 | 28 | |
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +7 | 30 | |
| 8 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -14 | 26 | |
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | -2 | 29 | |
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -17 | 25 | |
| 10 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 28 | |
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -6 | 25 | |
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -8 | 25 | |
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 28 | |
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 26 | |
| 12 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 24 | |
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -13 | 21 | |
| 13 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 26 | |
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -16 | 21 | |
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -13 | 24 | |
| 15 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -34 | 15 | |
| 15 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 20 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.