Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Sporting Kansas City host Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Children's Mercy Park. Sporting Kansas City sit 15th in the table and Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Sporting Kansas City have taken 1 draw and 4 defeats (L L D L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Vancouver Whitecaps have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (D W L W W). Vancouver Whitecaps are averaging 2.3 scored and 0.9 conceded per game, keeping 9 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for Sporting Kansas City, 8 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.93 to 2.02.
Whitecaps are league leaders with exceptional defensive record and positive away form. Sporting KC struggling badly—bottom-five form with no clean sheets and conceding heavily. xG imbalance (2.02 away vs 0.93 home) reflects overwhelming quality gap.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away85%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.581%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)80%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away77%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)73%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.566%
- Away Win · Away61%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.556%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes54%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No46%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.544%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw39%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.534%
- Draw · Draw23%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)20%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.519%
- Home Win · Home15%
- Correct Score · 1-111%
Last 10 meetings
- LSporting Kansas City
0 - 330/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsW - WVancouver Whitecaps
3 - 018/04/2026
Sporting Kansas CityL - LSporting Kansas City
0 - 221/09/2025
Vancouver WhitecapsW - WVancouver Whitecaps
3 - 027/07/2025
Sporting Kansas CityL - WVancouver Whitecaps
2 - 118/07/2024
Sporting Kansas CityL - LSporting Kansas City
1 - 230/05/2024
Vancouver WhitecapsW - WSporting Kansas City
3 - 002/07/2023
Vancouver WhitecapsL - DVancouver Whitecaps
1 - 104/06/2023
Sporting Kansas CityD - LSporting Kansas City
0 - 129/05/2022
Vancouver WhitecapsW - WVancouver Whitecaps
1 - 003/04/2022
Sporting Kansas CityL
Recent form
- Lv
Vancouver Whitecaps0 - 3 - L@
Atlanta United FC1 - 2 - Dv
St. Louis City1 - 1 - L@
Colorado Rapids0 - 2 - Lv
Houston Dynamo0 - 2 - L@
Los Angeles FC0 - 4 - Wv
Minnesota United FC2 - 1 - L@
St. Louis City2 - 3 - Lv
New York Red Bulls1 - 2 - W@
Austin2 - 1
- Dv
CF Montreal1 - 1 - W@
Sporting Kansas City3 - 0 - Wv
FC Dallas5 - 0 - Lv
Houston Dynamo0 - 1 - W@
Seattle Sounders2 - 0 - Lv
FC Juarez1 - 3 - Lv
Atlante FC0 - 1 - Dv
Los Angeles FC1 - 1 - D@
Minnesota United FC0 - 0
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City | 0.91 | 2.45 | 15 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 2.29 | 0.86 | 1 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +30 | 43 | |
| 1 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | +30 | 52 | |
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +15 | 42 | |
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +4 | 39 | |
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +11 | 37 | |
| 3 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +14 | 36 | |
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +6 | 34 | |
| 4 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 | |
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +4 | 34 | |
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +8 | 35 | |
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 31 | |
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +3 | 34 | |
| 7 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | +3 | 31 | |
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | +5 | 28 | |
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +7 | 30 | |
| 8 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -14 | 26 | |
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | -2 | 29 | |
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -17 | 25 | |
| 10 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 28 | |
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -6 | 25 | |
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -8 | 25 | |
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 28 | |
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 26 | |
| 12 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 24 | |
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -13 | 21 | |
| 13 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 26 | |
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -16 | 21 | |
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -13 | 24 | |
| 15 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -34 | 15 | |
| 15 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 20 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.