Inter Miami vs CF Montreal

Inter Miami host CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Nu Stadium. Inter Miami sit 2nd in the table and CF Montreal are 14th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Inter Miami have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (D L D L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games CF Montreal have taken 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (D D W D L). CF Montreal are averaging 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded per game, keeping 4 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 6 wins for Inter Miami, 4 for CF Montreal and 0 draws, averaging 4.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 3.58 to 1.44.

Inter Miami's overwhelming expected goals advantage (3.58) against CF Montreal's weak away performance (0.67 away goals per game) ensures high confidence in over 1.5 goals.