DC United vs Los Angeles FC
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
DC United host Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Audi Field. DC United sit 11th in the table and Los Angeles FC are 3rd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games DC United have taken 3 draws and 2 defeats (D D L L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Los Angeles FC have taken 3 draws and 2 defeats (D L L D D). Los Angeles FC are averaging 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 12 clean sheets so far.
Their last 5 meetings have produced 1 win for DC United, 2 for Los Angeles FC and 2 draws, averaging 2.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.37 to 4.11.
Los Angeles FC are elite road team with 4.11 xG and 11 away clean sheets. DC United at home produce only 0.37 xG and show poor form (WDDLL). This represents a complete talent disparity—LAFC should dominate comprehensively.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away99%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)99%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away96%
- Away Win · Away95%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.594%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)87%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.582%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No69%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.565%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.535%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes31%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.518%
- Correct Score · 0-414%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.56%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw5%
- Draw · Draw4%
- Home Win · Home1%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)1%
Last 10 meetings
- DDC United
0 - 029/08/2026
Los Angeles FCD - WDC United
2 - 105/02/2023
Los Angeles FCL - WLos Angeles FC
1 - 017/08/2022
DC UnitedL - LDC United
0 - 406/04/2019
Los Angeles FCW - DLos Angeles FC
1 - 127/05/2018
DC UnitedD
Recent form
- Dv
Los Angeles FC0 - 0 - L@
Charlotte1 - 3 - Lv
New England Revolution0 - 3 - D@
CF Montreal1 - 1 - Dv
Nashville SC2 - 2 - Wv
Toronto FC2 - 1 - D@
Houston Dynamo1 - 1 - Dv
CF Montreal4 - 4 - Dv
St. Louis City1 - 1
- D@
DC United0 - 0 - Dv
Portland Timbers1 - 1 - L@
Colorado Rapids0 - 1 - Lv
San Diego0 - 1 - W@
Toluca1 - 0 - D@
Vancouver Whitecaps1 - 1 - Wv
Sporting Kansas City4 - 0 - Wv
Real Salt Lake3 - 1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United | 1.27 | 1.64 | 11 |
| Los Angeles FC | 1.57 | 0.96 | 3 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +30 | 43 | |
| 1 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | +30 | 52 | |
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +15 | 42 | |
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +4 | 39 | |
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +11 | 37 | |
| 3 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +14 | 36 | |
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +6 | 34 | |
| 4 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 | |
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +4 | 34 | |
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +8 | 35 | |
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 31 | |
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +3 | 34 | |
| 7 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | +3 | 31 | |
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | +5 | 28 | |
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +7 | 30 | |
| 8 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -14 | 26 | |
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | -2 | 29 | |
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -17 | 25 | |
| 10 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 28 | |
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -6 | 25 | |
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -8 | 25 | |
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 28 | |
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 26 | |
| 12 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 24 | |
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -13 | 21 | |
| 13 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 26 | |
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -16 | 21 | |
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -13 | 24 | |
| 15 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -34 | 15 | |
| 15 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 20 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.