Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution

Columbus Crew host New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field. Columbus Crew sit 15th in the table and New England Revolution are 4th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Columbus Crew have taken 1 draw and 4 defeats (D L L L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games New England Revolution have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L L W D W). New England Revolution are averaging 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game, keeping 5 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Columbus Crew, 3 for New England Revolution and 3 draws, averaging 3.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 3.40 to 1.00.

Columbus generate exceptional expected goals at home (3.4) while Revolution are vulnerable away with only 1.0 xG. This is a dominant matchup on paper with huge xG gap. Over 1.5 is nearly certain given home side's firepower.