Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire

Seattle Sounders host Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Lumen Field. Seattle Sounders sit 12th in the table and Chicago Fire are 3rd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Seattle Sounders have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (L L L D D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Chicago Fire have taken 3 wins and 2 draws (W W W D D). Chicago Fire are averaging 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 6 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Seattle Sounders, 4 for Chicago Fire and 2 draws, averaging 2.9 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.92 to 2.69.

Both teams have deep injury lists impacting key players across all positions. While the model expects high-scoring action (2.92 home, 2.69 away), depleted squads may reduce quality and efficiency in attack.