Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo

Instituto Cordoba host San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina, kicking off on Tuesday, 1 September 2026 at Estadio Presidente Peron. Instituto Cordoba sit 1st in the table and San Lorenzo are 14th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Instituto Cordoba have taken 4 wins and 1 draw (W W W D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games San Lorenzo have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (L L W D L). San Lorenzo are averaging 0.8 scored and 0.9 conceded per game, keeping 12 clean sheets so far.

Their last 5 meetings have produced 1 win for Instituto Cordoba, 3 for San Lorenzo and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.80 to 1.05.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo) at 88% based on expected goals of 0.80-1.05.