Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi

Argentinos JRS host Aldosivi in the Liga Profesional Argentina, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona. Argentinos JRS sit 3rd in the table and Aldosivi are 14th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Argentinos JRS have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W L D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 12 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Aldosivi have taken 1 draw and 4 defeats (L L D L L). Aldosivi are averaging 0.5 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 5 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 7 wins for Argentinos JRS, 3 for Aldosivi and 0 draws, averaging 3.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.95 to 0.22.

Argentinos are league leaders with 1.95 expected goals at home versus Aldosivi's 0.22 away. The 97% probability reflects a heavily lopsided matchup where Argentinos' clean sheet record (12) and superior position justify near-certainty for this market.