Boca Juniors vs Lanus

Boca Juniors host Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Alberto Jose Armando. Boca Juniors sit 2nd in the table and Lanus are 6th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Boca Juniors have taken 2 wins and 3 draws (W D D D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 11 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Lanus have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (L W L D L). Lanus are averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 9 clean sheets so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 4 wins for Boca Juniors, 2 for Lanus and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 87% at odds of 1.15. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.57 to 0.63.

Boca Juniors at home with strong xG advantage (1.57 vs 0.63) and solid form. Lanus in poor form (LLWLD) and weak away record. Home or Draw is the secure pick.