CRB vs Criciuma

CRB host Criciuma in the Serie B, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026. CRB sit 6th in the table and Criciuma are 3rd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games CRB have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W D W L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Criciuma have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (L W D L L). Criciuma are averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, keeping 11 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for CRB, 5 for Criciuma and 1 draw, averaging 1.9 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 90% at odds of 1.11. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.08 to 0.66.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (CRB vs Criciuma) at 90% based on expected goals of 1.08-0.66.