Mirassol vs Palmeiras

Mirassol host Palmeiras in the Serie A, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026. Mirassol sit 16th in the table and Palmeiras are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Mirassol have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (L L D D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Palmeiras have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (W D L W D). Palmeiras are averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, keeping 9 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for Mirassol, 6 for Palmeiras and 2 draws, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.06 to 2.11.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Mirassol vs Palmeiras) at 92% based on expected goals of 2.06-2.11.