Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab

Al-Hazm host Al Shabab in the Pro League, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Al-Hazem Club Stadium. Al-Hazm sit 11th in the table and Al Shabab are 13th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games Al-Hazm have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W L L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Al Shabab have taken 3 draws and 2 defeats (L D D D L). Al Shabab are averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 0 wins for Al-Hazm, 9 for Al Shabab and 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 83% at odds of 1.2. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.43 to 0.71.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab) at 83% based on expected goals of 1.43-0.71.