Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC

Al-Fateh host Al-Ittihad FC in the Pro League, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Al Fateh club stadium. Al-Fateh sit 16th in the table and Al-Ittihad FC are 8th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 4 league games Al-Fateh have taken 2 draws and 2 defeats (L L D D). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Al-Ittihad FC have taken 2 wins and 2 draws (D W W D). Al-Ittihad FC are averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for Al-Fateh, 6 for Al-Ittihad FC and 3 draws, averaging 4.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 77% at odds of 1.3. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.44 to 1.02.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC) at 77% based on expected goals of 1.44-1.02.