Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Al Kholood host Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Al-Hazem Club Stadium. Al Kholood sit 5th in the table and Al-Ahli Jeddah are 4th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Al Kholood have taken 2 wins and 3 draws (D W D W D). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Al-Ahli Jeddah have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (W W L L W). Al-Ahli Jeddah are averaging 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.
Their last 7 meetings have produced 2 wins for Al Kholood, 5 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 0 draws, averaging 2.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 90% at odds of 1.11. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.49 to 1.53.
Al-Ahli dominate the xG battle (1.53 vs 0.49) and have clean sheets in both recent matches. Al Kholood conceded 1.5 goals per game at home and are positioned 8th. The 90% confidence in a draw or away win is well-supported by form and underlying metrics.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away90%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)86%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.585%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away72%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No68%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.567%
- Away Win · Away62%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.561%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)60%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.539%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw38%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.533%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes32%
- Draw · Draw28%
- Correct Score · 0-119%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.515%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)14%
- Home Win · Home10%
Last 10 meetings
- WAl Kholood
3 - 129/08/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahL - WAl-Ahli Jeddah
3 - 016/05/2026
Al KholoodL - LAl Kholood
0 - 117/01/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahW - WAl-Ahli Jeddah
4 - 117/05/2025
Al KholoodL - WAl Kholood
1 - 015/01/2025
Al-Ahli JeddahL - LAl Kholood
1 - 207/02/2023
Al-Ahli JeddahW - WAl-Ahli Jeddah
1 - 005/09/2022
Al KholoodL
Recent form
- D@
Al-Fayha2 - 2 - Wv
Al-Ahli Jeddah3 - 1 - D@
Al Diriyah1 - 1 - Wv
Al Taawon3 - 2 - W@
Jeddah Club5 - 0 - D@
Al-Ittihad FC1 - 1 - L@
Luton0 - 2 - L@
Albacete1 - 2 - D@
Kaizer Chiefs1 - 1 - Dv
Al-Fateh0 - 0
- Wv
Al Riyadh5 - 0 - L@
Al-Hilal Saudi FC0 - 3 - L@
Al Kholood1 - 3 - Wv
Auckland1 - 0 - Wv
Abha4 - 0 - W@
Al Anwar2 - 1 - W@
Al Diriyah1 - 0 - Dv
Fulham1 - 1 - L@
Portimonense0 - 2 - Lv
Vitória SC1 - 3
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kholood | 2 | 1.4 | 5 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2.2 | 1.2 | 4 |
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +14 | 15 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 12 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 9 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 | |
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -10 | 4 | |
| 13 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 | |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7 | 3 | |
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 | |
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 | |
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 | |
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.