Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Al-Nassr host Al Taawon in the Pro League, kicking off on Friday, 28 August 2026 at Al-Awwal Park. Al-Nassr sit 2nd in the table and Al Taawon are 15th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 4 league games Al-Nassr have taken 4 wins (W W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 4 league games Al Taawon have taken 2 draws and 2 defeats (D L D L). Al Taawon are averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 6 wins for Al-Nassr, 2 for Al Taawon and 2 draws, averaging 2.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 91% at odds of 1.1. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.43 to 0.80.
Al-Nassr's league-leading position and attacking form make Home or Draw a safe pick at 91%. Al Taawon offers minimal threat offensively.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw91%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)89%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.584%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away82%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)77%
- Home Win · Home72%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.563%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.560%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes51%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No49%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.540%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.537%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away28%
- Draw · Draw18%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.516%
- Correct Score · 2-012%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)11%
- Away Win · Away9%
Last 10 meetings
- WAl-Nassr
2 - 128/08/2026
Al TaawonL - WAl-Nassr
1 - 026/01/2026
Al TaawonL - LAl Taawon
0 - 529/08/2025
Al-NassrW - DAl-Nassr
1 - 116/05/2025
Al TaawonD - DAl Taawon
1 - 117/01/2025
Al-NassrD - LAl-Nassr
0 - 129/10/2024
Al TaawonW - LAl Taawon
0 - 214/08/2024
Al-NassrW - LAl Taawon
1 - 430/12/2023
Al-NassrW - LAl-Nassr
0 - 218/08/2023
Al TaawonW - WAl-Nassr
2 - 117/02/2023
Al TaawonL
Recent form
- Wv
Al Taawon2 - 1 - W@
Al-Ettifaq3 - 2 - W@
Al Riyadh4 - 0 - W@
Al Diriyah4 - 1 - Wv
Al-Fateh3 - 0 - Lv
Almeria0 - 2 - L@
Estrela2 - 4 - W@
Mérida AD2 - 0 - L@
Benfica B1 - 2 - Wv
Damac4 - 1
- L@
Al-Nassr1 - 2 - Dv
Al-Fayha0 - 0 - L@
Al Kholood2 - 3 - W@
Damac3 - 0 - Dv
Al Khaleej Saihat0 - 0 - D@
AS Eupen2 - 2 - W@
Helmond Sport2 - 0 - L@
Al-Hazm0 - 2 - Dv
Al Riyadh1 - 1 - Lv
Al-Ahli Jeddah1 - 2
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | 3 | 0.75 | 2 |
| Al Taawon | 0.75 | 1.25 | 15 |
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +14 | 15 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 12 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 9 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 | |
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -10 | 4 | |
| 13 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 | |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7 | 3 | |
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 | |
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 | |
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 | |
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.