FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske

FC Copenhagen host Sonderjyske in the Superliga, kicking off on Monday, 31 August 2026 at Parken. FC Copenhagen sit 1st in the table and Sonderjyske are 12th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games FC Copenhagen have taken 4 wins and 1 defeat (W W L W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Sonderjyske have taken 1 draw and 4 defeats (L D L L L). Sonderjyske are averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 7 wins for FC Copenhagen, 1 for Sonderjyske and 2 draws, averaging 3.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Draw No Bet (Home) (Home (DNB)) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 3.30 to 0.51.

Statistical model favors Home (DNB) (FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske) at 92% based on expected goals of 3.30-0.51.