FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
FC Nordsjaelland host Brondby in the Superliga, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Right to Dream Park. FC Nordsjaelland sit 3rd in the table and Brondby are 4th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games FC Nordsjaelland have taken 4 wins and 1 defeat (W W W W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Brondby have taken 4 wins and 1 defeat (W W W W L). Brondby are averaging 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.
Their last 9 meetings have produced 2 wins for FC Nordsjaelland, 2 for Brondby and 5 draws, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.44 to 0.53.
Nordsjaelland show strong home credentials with a 58% win probability and exceptional defensive record (0.25 avg conceded). Brondby's 0.53 xG away and Nordsjaelland's 1.44 home xG support the 88% double chance pick.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw88%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.586%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)83%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away70%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.568%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No67%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.560%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)59%
- Home Win · Home58%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away42%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.540%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes33%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.532%
- Draw · Draw30%
- Correct Score · 1-019%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)17%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.514%
- Away Win · Away12%
Last 10 meetings
- WFC Nordsjaelland
3 - 130/08/2026
BrondbyL - DBrondby
3 - 304/07/2026
FC NordsjaellandD - DBrondby
1 - 101/05/2026
FC NordsjaellandD - WFC Nordsjaelland
2 - 107/04/2026
BrondbyL - WBrondby
2 - 009/11/2025
FC NordsjaellandL - LFC Nordsjaelland
0 - 127/07/2025
BrondbyW - DFC Nordsjaelland
2 - 211/05/2025
BrondbyD - DBrondby
0 - 018/04/2025
FC NordsjaellandD - DBrondby
1 - 110/11/2024
FC NordsjaellandD
Recent form
- L@
FC Copenhagen0 - 2 - Wv
Brondby3 - 1 - W@
FC ST. Gallen3 - 2 - W@
Sonderjyske3 - 0 - Wv
FC ST. Gallen1 - 0 - Wv
Silkeborg1 - 0 - Wv
Valur Reykjavik5 - 0 - W@
Valur Reykjavik2 - 0 - Wv
Randers FC1 - 0 - Wv
Gais6 - 0
- L@
FC Nordsjaelland1 - 3 - Wv
Silkeborg3 - 1 - Wv
Sonderjyske3 - 2 - W@
AC Horsens2 - 0 - Wv
Viborg1 - 0 - D@
Aarhus1 - 1 - L@
Hibernian1 - 2 - Wv
Odense4 - 0 - Dv
FC Nordsjaelland3 - 3 - Wv
Hvidovre8 - 1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland | 1.5 | 0.67 | 3 |
| Brondby | 1.83 | 1.17 | 4 |
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 15 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | |
| 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 | |
| 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 | |
| 11 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 3 | |
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.