Randers FC vs Aarhus

Randers FC host Aarhus in the Superliga, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Cepheus Park Randers. Randers FC sit 7th in the table and Aarhus are 11th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Randers FC have taken 2 wins and 3 defeats (L W L L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Aarhus have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (D L D L L). Aarhus are averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Randers FC, 3 for Aarhus and 3 draws, averaging 3.2 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.75 to 1.66.

Randers are depleted (eight+ players out) and struggling domestically, while Aarhus hold xG advantage on the road. Draw or Away at 85% reflects strong evidence.