Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Asteras Tripolis host Olympiakos Piraeus in the Super League 1, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium. Asteras Tripolis sit 13th in the table and Olympiakos Piraeus are 4th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Asteras Tripolis have taken 2 defeats (L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Olympiakos Piraeus have taken 2 wins (W W). Olympiakos Piraeus are averaging 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for Asteras Tripolis, 7 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 81% at odds of 1.23. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.95 to 1.30.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus) at 81% based on expected goals of 0.95-1.30.