Atromitos vs PAOK

Atromitos host PAOK in the Super League 1, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Peristeri Stadium. Atromitos sit 11th in the table and PAOK are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Atromitos have taken 2 defeats (L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games PAOK have taken 2 wins (W W). PAOK are averaging 3.0 scored and 0.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 1 win for Atromitos, 7 for PAOK and 1 draw, averaging 2.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.55 to 1.00.

Atromitos holds a substantial xG advantage (2.55 at home vs PAOK's 1.0) despite recent form concerns. The h2h record shows competitive home performances. Home or Draw at 88% is a solid play, with PAOK's away xG too low to overcome the home edge.