Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI

Aris Thessalonikis host OFI in the Super League 1, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Kleanthis Vikelides. Aris Thessalonikis sit 3rd in the table and OFI are 7th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 2 league games Aris Thessalonikis have taken 2 wins (W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games OFI have taken 1 win and 1 defeat (W L). OFI are averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 5 wins for Aris Thessalonikis, 4 for OFI and 1 draw, averaging 2.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 90% at odds of 1.11. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.52 to 1.23.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI) at 90% based on expected goals of 2.52-1.23.