FC Thun vs Lausanne

FC Thun host Lausanne in the Super League, kicking off on Wednesday, 2 September 2026 at Stockhorn Arena. FC Thun sit 7th in the table and Lausanne are 8th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games FC Thun have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W L L W D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Lausanne have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (W D L L D). Lausanne are averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for FC Thun, 4 for Lausanne and 2 draws, averaging 3.9 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Both Teams to Score (Yes) as the pick, rated 73% at odds of 1.37. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 3.60 to 1.39.

Statistical model favors Yes (FC Thun vs Lausanne) at 73% based on expected goals of 3.60-1.39.