FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun

FC ST. Gallen host FC Thun in the Super League, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Kybunpark. FC ST. Gallen sit 6th in the table and FC Thun are 7th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games FC ST. Gallen have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W W D L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games FC Thun have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W L L W D). FC Thun are averaging 1.8 scored and 2.8 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for FC ST. Gallen, 3 for FC Thun and 3 draws, averaging 4.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 89% at odds of 1.12. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.07 to 0.75.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun) at 89% based on expected goals of 1.07-0.75.