BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
BSC Young Boys host FC Basel 1893 in the Super League, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Stadion Wankdorf. BSC Young Boys sit 2nd in the table and FC Basel 1893 are 3rd, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games BSC Young Boys have taken 3 wins and 2 draws (W D W D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 3.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 5 league games FC Basel 1893 have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L W W D L). FC Basel 1893 are averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 5 wins for BSC Young Boys, 2 for FC Basel 1893 and 3 draws, averaging 4.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 3.40 to 0.67.
Young Boys league leaders (position 1) with 3.4 xG at home; Basel 0.67 xG. H2H shows Basel has won only once in last six (away in April 2026). Home or Draw at 96% is well-calibrated.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw96%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)96%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.592%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away90%
- Home Win · Home87%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)84%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.577%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.558%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No52%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes48%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.542%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.523%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away13%
- Correct Score · 3-011%
- Draw · Draw10%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.58%
- Away Win · Away4%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)4%
Last 10 meetings
- DBSC Young Boys
3 - 329/08/2026
FC Basel 1893D - WBSC Young Boys
3 - 010/05/2026
FC Basel 1893L - DFC Basel 1893
3 - 304/04/2026
BSC Young BoysD - DBSC Young Boys
0 - 002/11/2025
FC Basel 1893D - WFC Basel 1893
4 - 106/08/2025
BSC Young BoysL - WBSC Young Boys
6 - 218/05/2025
FC Basel 1893L - LFC Basel 1893
1 - 216/03/2025
BSC Young BoysW - WBSC Young Boys
3 - 230/10/2024
FC Basel 1893L - WFC Basel 1893
1 - 006/10/2024
BSC Young BoysL - WBSC Young Boys
5 - 110/03/2024
FC Basel 1893L
Recent form
- W@
FC Zurich4 - 2 - Dv
FC Basel 18933 - 3 - Wv
FC Vaduz4 - 2 - W@
Liestal4 - 0 - D@
Lausanne2 - 2 - W@
FC Thun6 - 0 - Wv
FC Sion4 - 2 - Wv
Étoile Carouge5 - 0 - W@
Plzen5 - 3 - W@
FC Kharkiv2 - 0
- Lv
FC Sion1 - 2 - D@
BSC Young Boys3 - 3 - W@
FC Zurich2 - 1 - Lv
Barcelona2 - 5 - W@
Courtételle6 - 1 - Wv
FC Thun4 - 2 - Lv
Lausanne0 - 1 - W@
Servette FC1 - 0 - Dv
Juventus0 - 0 - Dv
FC Winterthur2 - 2
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young Boys | 3.83 | 1.83 | 2 |
| FC Basel 1893 | 1.83 | 1.5 | 3 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 15 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 9 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 7 | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 6 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.