Lausanne vs FC Zurich
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Lausanne host FC Zurich in the Super League, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Stade de la Tuiliere. Lausanne sit 8th in the table and FC Zurich are 9th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games Lausanne have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (W D L L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games FC Zurich have taken 2 wins and 3 defeats (W L L W L). FC Zurich are averaging 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 5 wins for Lausanne, 3 for FC Zurich and 2 draws, averaging 3.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 77% at odds of 1.3. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.68 to 1.06.
Lausanne are solid at home with 0.75 goals for average and have won their last match. Zurich are in poor form (LWLL) with 2.5 goals conceded per game and have failed to keep a clean sheet. The 77% probability for home/draw is well-justified.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw77%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.577%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away73%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)71%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.570%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)69%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes55%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.552%
- Home Win · Home50%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away50%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.548%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No45%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)31%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.530%
- Draw · Draw27%
- Away Win · Away23%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.523%
- Correct Score · 1-113%
Last 10 meetings
- LLausanne
2 - 329/08/2026
FC ZurichW - WLausanne
3 - 025/04/2026
FC ZurichL - LFC Zurich
1 - 204/03/2026
LausanneW - LFC Zurich
1 - 201/11/2025
LausanneW - LLausanne
1 - 210/08/2025
FC ZurichW - DFC Zurich
2 - 202/04/2025
LausanneD - WLausanne
3 - 008/12/2024
FC ZurichL - WFC Zurich
2 - 011/08/2024
LausanneL - WLausanne
1 - 013/04/2024
FC ZurichL - DFC Zurich
2 - 231/01/2024
LausanneD
Recent form
- D@
FC Thun0 - 0 - Lv
FC Zurich2 - 3 - L@
FC Luzern0 - 1 - W@
Kosova Neuchatel6 - 0 - Dv
BSC Young Boys2 - 2 - W@
FC Basel 18931 - 0 - L@
Saint Etienne0 - 4 - Dv
Grasshoppers1 - 1 - Wv
Yverdon Sport3 - 0 - Lv
Neuchatel Xamax FC1 - 2
- Lv
BSC Young Boys2 - 4 - W@
Lausanne3 - 2 - Lv
FC Basel 18931 - 2 - W@
Tuggen2 - 1 - L@
FC Lugano0 - 5 - Wv
Servette FC2 - 1 - L@
FC ST. Gallen1 - 2 - Lv
SpVgg Greuther Fürth2 - 3 - Lv
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1 - 2 - Lv
Sochaux1 - 2
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lausanne | 1 | 1.17 | 8 |
| FC Zurich | 1.5 | 2.67 | 9 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 15 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 9 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 7 | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 6 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.