Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna

Red Bull Salzburg host Rapid Vienna in the Bundesliga, kicking off on Wednesday, 2 September 2026 at Red Bull Arena. Red Bull Salzburg sit 2nd in the table and Rapid Vienna are 3rd, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Red Bull Salzburg have taken 4 wins and 1 draw (W D W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Rapid Vienna have taken 4 wins and 1 defeat (W W W W L). Rapid Vienna are averaging 3.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 3 wins for Red Bull Salzburg, 5 for Rapid Vienna and 2 draws, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.13 to 1.16.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna) at 85% based on expected goals of 2.13-1.16.