Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna

Red Bull Salzburg host Austria Vienna in the Bundesliga, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Red Bull Arena. Red Bull Salzburg sit 2nd in the table and Austria Vienna are 12th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Red Bull Salzburg have taken 4 wins and 1 draw (W D W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Austria Vienna have taken 1 win and 4 defeats (L L W L L). Austria Vienna are averaging 0.6 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 8 wins for Red Bull Salzburg, 1 for Austria Vienna and 1 draw, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 80% at odds of 1.25. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.06 to 1.83.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna) at 80% based on expected goals of 1.06-1.83.