Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC

Grazer AK host Wolfsberger AC in the Bundesliga, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Merkur-Arena. Grazer AK sit 10th in the table and Wolfsberger AC are 7th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Grazer AK have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (L W L L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Wolfsberger AC have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (W D L D L). Wolfsberger AC are averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 3 wins for Grazer AK, 5 for Wolfsberger AC and 2 draws, averaging 3.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.76 to 0.82.

Grazer generates dominant home xG (2.76) against Wolfsberger's depleted away profile (0.82). Despite Grazer's poor recent form (LWLL), xG advantage and h2h patterns support home or draw at 92%.