Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe

Samsunspor host Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu. Samsunspor sit 10th in the table and Fenerbahçe are 4th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 3 league games Samsunspor have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat (D W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 3 league games Fenerbahçe have taken 2 wins and 1 defeat (L W W). Fenerbahçe are averaging 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for Samsunspor, 5 for Fenerbahçe and 4 draws, averaging 2.4 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.93 to 1.60.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe) at 88% based on expected goals of 1.93-1.60.