Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Konyaspor host Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium. Konyaspor sit 18th in the table and Kocaelispor are 6th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 3 league games Konyaspor have taken 3 defeats (L L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 3 league games Kocaelispor have taken 2 wins and 1 defeat (L W W). Kocaelispor are averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 3 meetings have produced 1 win for Konyaspor, 2 for Kocaelispor and 0 draws, averaging 3.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 91% at odds of 1.1. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.29 to 0.42.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor) at 91% based on expected goals of 1.29-0.42.