Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

Motherwell host Dundee Utd in the Premiership, kicking off on Wednesday, 2 September 2026 at Fir Park. Motherwell sit 4th in the table and Dundee Utd are 9th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games Motherwell have taken 2 wins and 2 draws (W D D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Dundee Utd have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (D L L W L). Dundee Utd are averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 7 wins for Motherwell, 2 for Dundee Utd and 1 draw, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 0.5 Goals (HT) (Over 0.5 (HT)) as the pick, rated 80% at odds of 1.25. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.71 to 1.85.

Statistical model favors Over 0.5 (HT) (Motherwell vs Dundee Utd) at 80% based on expected goals of 1.71-1.85.