Celtic vs Aberdeen

Celtic host Aberdeen in the Premiership, kicking off on Wednesday, 2 September 2026 at Celtic Park. Celtic sit 1st in the table and Aberdeen are 10th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games Celtic have taken 4 wins (W W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Aberdeen have taken 1 win and 3 defeats (W L L L). Aberdeen are averaging 0.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 8 meetings have produced 7 wins for Celtic, 0 for Aberdeen and 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Draw No Bet (Home) (Home (DNB)) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 3.35 to 0.69.

Statistical model favors Home (DNB) (Celtic vs Aberdeen) at 92% based on expected goals of 3.35-0.69.