Dundee vs Hibernian

Dundee host Hibernian in the Premiership, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Dens Park. Dundee sit 5th in the table and Hibernian are 7th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Dundee have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L W W L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Hibernian have taken 2 wins and 2 defeats (L W W L). Hibernian are averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for Dundee, 6 for Hibernian and 3 draws, averaging 3.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.73 to 1.79.

Dundee's recent form (W-W) and Hibernian's competitive output (1.79 away xG) point to an open, attacking contest with multiple goals highly probable. The 88% confidence is justified.