Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock host Dundee Utd in the Premiership, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock sit 12th in the table and Dundee Utd are 9th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 4 league games Kilmarnock have taken 4 defeats (L L L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Dundee Utd have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (D L L W L). Dundee Utd are averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 5 wins for Kilmarnock, 1 for Dundee Utd and 4 draws, averaging 2.8 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Home Win (Home) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 3.61 to 0.89.

Statistical model favors Home (Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd) at 85% based on expected goals of 3.61-0.89.