Celtic vs Falkirk

Celtic host Falkirk in the Premiership, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Celtic Park. Celtic sit 1st in the table and Falkirk are 11th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games Celtic have taken 4 wins (W W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Falkirk have taken 1 draw and 3 defeats (L D L L). Falkirk are averaging 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 8 meetings have produced 8 wins for Celtic, 0 for Falkirk and 0 draws, averaging 3.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Draw No Bet (Home) (Home (DNB)) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 3.17 to 0.73.

Statistical model favors Home (DNB) (Celtic vs Falkirk) at 92% based on expected goals of 3.17-0.73.