St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise

St. Truiden host Union St. Gilloise in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Wednesday, 2 September 2026 at Daio Wasabi Stayen. St. Truiden sit 11th in the table and Union St. Gilloise are 4th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 4 league games St. Truiden have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D D W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Union St. Gilloise have taken 3 wins and 1 draw (W D W W). Union St. Gilloise are averaging 2.8 scored and 0.3 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for St. Truiden, 7 for Union St. Gilloise and 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Home Win (Home) as the pick, rated 62% at odds of 1.61. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.90 to 0.80.

Statistical model favors Home (St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise) at 62% based on expected goals of 1.90-0.80.