KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
KVC Westerlo host Zulte Waregem in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Het Kuipje. KVC Westerlo sit 16th in the table and Zulte Waregem are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 4 league games KVC Westerlo have taken 1 draw and 3 defeats (L L L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 4 league games Zulte Waregem have taken 2 wins and 2 draws (W D W D). Zulte Waregem are averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for KVC Westerlo, 3 for Zulte Waregem and 3 draws, averaging 3.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.88 to 3.08.
Zulte Waregem's exceptionally high away xG (3.08) paired with Westerlo's collapsing defence (1.88 xG conceded rate, 4.0 goals against avg) virtually guarantees multiple goals. This is one of the safest Over 1.5 picks of the slate.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.596%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)89%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.587%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away83%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes81%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away79%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)74%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.573%
- Away Win · Away61%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw39%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.527%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)26%
- Home Win · Home21%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No19%
- Draw · Draw17%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.513%
- Correct Score · 1-36%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.54%
Last 10 meetings
- DKVC Westerlo
2 - 230/08/2026
Zulte WaregemD - LZulte Waregem
0 - 131/01/2026
KVC WesterloW - WKVC Westerlo
3 - 102/08/2025
Zulte WaregemL - DZulte Waregem
1 - 121/01/2023
KVC WesterloD - WKVC Westerlo
2 - 001/10/2022
Zulte WaregemL - DZulte Waregem
2 - 204/03/2017
KVC WesterloD - LKVC Westerlo
1 - 205/11/2016
Zulte WaregemW - LKVC Westerlo
1 - 230/01/2016
Zulte WaregemW - WZulte Waregem
4 - 225/09/2015
KVC WesterloL - LZulte Waregem
1 - 324/01/2015
KVC WesterloW
Recent form
- Dv
Zulte Waregem2 - 2 - L@
Lommel United0 - 4 - L@
Genk2 - 3 - Lv
Union St. Gilloise1 - 5 - Lv
Samsunspor1 - 2 - Dv
Kifisia1 - 1 - L@
Dunkerque1 - 3 - Dv
Al-Fayha0 - 0 - Lv
Beerschot VA0 - 2
- D@
KVC Westerlo2 - 2 - Wv
SK Beveren4 - 0 - D@
Union St. Gilloise0 - 0 - Wv
Genk2 - 1 - Wv
Sparta Rotterdam3 - 2 - Dv
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1 - Wv
Kryvbas KR2 - 1 - Wv
Raków Częstochowa4 - 3 - W@
Zelzate2 - 1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo | 1.25 | 3.5 | 16 |
| Zulte Waregem | 2 | 0.75 | 5 |
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 12 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 10 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 8 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 3 | |
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 | |
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 | |
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 | |
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 | |
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 0 | |
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.