Antwerp vs St. Truiden

Antwerp host St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Bosuilstadion. Antwerp sit 9th in the table and St. Truiden are 11th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games Antwerp have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 4 league games St. Truiden have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D D W L). St. Truiden are averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 5 wins for Antwerp, 2 for St. Truiden and 2 draws, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 82% at odds of 1.22. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.02 to 1.17.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Antwerp vs St. Truiden) at 82% based on expected goals of 1.02-1.17.