Gent vs Club Brugge KV

Gent host Club Brugge KV in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Planet Group Arena. Gent sit 3rd in the table and Club Brugge KV are 2nd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 4 league games Gent have taken 4 wins (W W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Club Brugge KV have taken 4 wins and 1 defeat (W W W L W). Club Brugge KV are averaging 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded per game, keeping 4 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for Gent, 6 for Club Brugge KV and 2 draws, averaging 3.4 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 89% at odds of 1.12. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.60 to 1.20.

Club Brugge is dominant defensively (0 goals conceded in recent form) and Gent is mid-table. Expected goals total only 1.8; scoreline volatility in recent h2h (5-0, 0-2, 2-1) is noise given strong underlying form.