Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Cercle Brugge host Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Jan Breydel Stadion. Cercle Brugge sit 13th in the table and Lommel United are 8th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 4 league games Cercle Brugge have taken 2 draws and 2 defeats (D D L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 4 league games Lommel United have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (D L W W). Lommel United are averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.
Their last 8 meetings have produced 4 wins for Cercle Brugge, 2 for Lommel United and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 91% at odds of 1.1. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.66 to 2.20.
Cercle Brugge form is DDL with weak expected goals (0.66). Lommel has clear advantage (2.2 xG) and recent positive form (DLW). Draw or Away at 91% is the appropriate selection.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away91%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)89%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away80%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.579%
- Away Win · Away72%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)72%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.568%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No56%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.554%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.546%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes44%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.532%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw28%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.521%
- Draw · Draw20%
- Correct Score · 0-214%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)11%
- Home Win · Home9%
Last 10 meetings
- LCercle Brugge
0 - 129/08/2026
Lommel UnitedW - DCercle Brugge
1 - 111/07/2026
Lommel UnitedD - LLommel United
0 - 121/04/2017
Cercle BruggeW - LCercle Brugge
0 - 526/03/2017
Lommel UnitedW - LLommel United
0 - 103/02/2017
Cercle BruggeW - WCercle Brugge
1 - 020/11/2016
Lommel UnitedL - WCercle Brugge
3 - 114/10/2016
Lommel UnitedL - DLommel United
1 - 103/09/2016
Cercle BruggeD
Recent form
- Lv
Lommel United0 - 1 - L@
Club Brugge KV0 - 1 - Dv
St. Truiden3 - 3 - D@
Standard Liege2 - 2 - D@
Monaco2 - 2 - L@
Reims0 - 3 - L@
PEC Zwolle2 - 3 - Dv
Lommel United1 - 1 - L@
RAAL La Louvière1 - 4 - Lv
Zulte Waregem2 - 3
- Lv
Club Brugge KV0 - 1 - W@
Cercle Brugge1 - 0 - Wv
KVC Westerlo4 - 0 - Lv
Charleroi0 - 1 - D@
St. Truiden1 - 1 - Lv
ADO Den Haag0 - 4 - Wv
GO Ahead Eagles2 - 1 - L@
OH Leuven1 - 5 - D@
Cercle Brugge1 - 1 - W@
Kryvbas KR4 - 2
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | 1.25 | 1.75 | 13 |
| Lommel United | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 |
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 12 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 10 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 8 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 3 | |
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 | |
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 | |
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 | |
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 | |
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 0 | |
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.