OH Leuven vs Standard Liege

OH Leuven host Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Den Dreef. OH Leuven sit 17th in the table and Standard Liege are 6th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 4 league games OH Leuven have taken 4 defeats (L L L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Standard Liege have taken 2 wins and 2 draws (D D W W). Standard Liege are averaging 2.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 5 wins for OH Leuven, 3 for Standard Liege and 2 draws, averaging 2.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.37 to 2.71.

Extreme mismatch: OH Leuven generates just 0.37 expected goals in form LL, while Standard Liege produces 2.71 xG with DDW form. Draw or Away at 97% reflects dominant data.