Sporting CP B vs Farense

Sporting CP B host Farense in the Segunda Liga, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira. Sporting CP B sit 3rd in the table and Farense are 6th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games Sporting CP B have taken 3 wins and 1 defeat (W W L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Farense have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W D L). Farense are averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 4 meetings have produced 2 wins for Sporting CP B, 1 for Farense and 1 draw, averaging 3.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.26 to 0.91.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Sporting CP B vs Farense) at 92% based on expected goals of 0.26-0.91.