Torreense vs Vizela

Torreense host Vizela in the Segunda Liga, kicking off on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Estadio Manuel Marques. Torreense sit 16th in the table and Vizela are 8th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 4 league games Torreense have taken 2 draws and 2 defeats (L D D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Vizela have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W L D W). Vizela are averaging 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.

Their last 6 meetings have produced 4 wins for Torreense, 2 for Vizela and 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.20 to 0.31.

Torreense home form is dominant with 80% win probability and 2.2 xG. Vizela offers negligible threat (0.31 xG) despite recent W. Home or Draw at 97% is overwhelming.